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This procedure is known as a vulnerability analysis or a stress test. If a potential future scenario might lead to a shortage in supply or nonattainment of water quality criteria, one has identified a potential failure in performance. By evaluating a range of strategies, one may identify strategies that perform well over the broadest range of futures. One may use historic, observed conditions for one set of simulations. If a reliable statistically downscaled dataset is not available for evaluating climate change, one may statistically modify the observed dataset to generate alternative climate conditions, such as warm, hot, dry, wet, and any combination of those or other factors.

Such perturbed climate time series data may be used to stress test a plan. Such a strategy allows one to quickly evaluate the potential influence of climate change on system performance. The most important step is to get started. You could recruit a scientific advisory panel to advise you on how to integrate some of these methods and through a range of plausible futures for your region.

You can also adopt these methods incrementally. One possible sequence for mainstreaming these into your organization is to just to first off embrace the idea of having multiple futures. The next step could be to employ qualitative methods to evaluate ranges of futures for which a system would perform better or worse.

A third step could be to quantify and rigorously think through how ranges of futures could affect your system using modeling and evaluation tools. We argue that the use of existing DMDU methods in practice should start with a better understanding of the institutional, organisational and individual contexts. We then suggest modifications to the applications of DMDU methods, i. Filename: 1-s2. Decision making under deep uncertainties: A review of the applicability of methods in practice.

Abstract Deep uncertainties like environmental and socio-economic changes create challenges to decision making. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4. Download Published Version. Symplectic Publications.

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I'm deep under the suburbs of suburbia, watching it on telly. Deep under the confessio in a little stone room Saint Peter himself was buried; here the Emperor Charlemagne had been crowned. The essentials of this affair lay deep under the surface, beyond my reach, and beyond my power of meddling. And the feeling of the summer and the fall was buried deep under tiredness, sleepiness, and nervousness and discomfort.

Deep freeze, armchair, film tapes, circuits, beds, and all like skeletons thrown in a cluttered mound deep under. They will descend into the tunnels that we had dug deep under the pole. His eyes were deep under the ridges of his brows. It goes so deep under German lines, they reckon it almost reaches Berlin. This scenario continues the characters' search for the slavers deep under the Drachensgrab Mountains.

When he got through the engine room door and across the space, he took a deep breath and went under the water. Divisions of race, language, culture and religion run deep in human society and surface under stress. Divisions of race, language, culture and religion run deep in human society and emerge under stress. But what is exactly that stuff that we lose under anesthesia, or when we are in deep, dreamless sleep?

She also describes quite a deep voice, a pale face and black bags under his eyes. And so, Noble Tiger lay himself under a great banyan tree Some pools would be left in the deep swirl places under a high bank. If she'd foundered under tow, she'd have gone down in deep water, and that would've been the last of her. Was it in battle that Lancelot de Lac and Sir Tristram won renown? You take away the nodes under the jaw, and suddenly it turns out that the deep lymphatic ducts are affected too.

And I've rammed my glasses deep into my under regions. A deep, harsh note boomed under the palms, spread through the intricacies of the forest and echoed back from the pink granite of the mountain. Under the drayman the snow had thawed, so that his diminutive body was sunk deep in the soft, sparkling down, and looked even more childlike than when he was alive. Her young face was marred by deep black shadows under her eyes.

Her lips were dry and rough. He had a deep scar under his left eye. Keep him deep She is now under deep sedation.